At long last, there’s light at the end of the tunnel and the Oscars are nearly here. The Golden Baldies are handed out overnight on Sunday, 28th, although for us Brits it all happens in the wee small hours of Monday morning, with the ceremony starting at about 1 am. And there isn’t a single UK telly channel screening it. Twitter has its uses ……
The deadline for members of the American Academy to cast their votes is today and, giving the timing of the BAFTAs, it’s highly unlikely that the British Academy’s golden masks won’t have had some influence. In fact, the winners of the main BAFTAs are highly likely to find themselves in need of another acceptance speech come the Oscar ceremony. With one exception.
Which makes this year’s Oscars perhaps the most predictable ever. Gratifying if, like me, you’re trying to predict the winners, but just a teensy weensy bit boring. What wouldn’t I give for a big surprise, a worthy winner that nobody predicted! Please note I said “worthy”. I don’t want a repeat of 2006 when Crash beat Brokeback Mountain to Best Picture. So how about Spotlight for Best Picture? Fassbender for Best Actor? Rampling for Best Actress? And even, at his 13th attempt, Brit Roger Deakins for Best Cinematography? I wish ……
If you read my BAFTA predictions, you’ll have a pretty good idea of who I’d like to see carry off a major award. The nominees this time around are similar, so here’s my predictions for the big six at the Oscars.
Best Picture There’s no doubt that this one will follow the form book. It’s The Revenant. Next!
Best Director Alejandro Inarritu for The Revenant. The winner of last year’s Best Director for Birdman – the film also took Best Picture – he’ll also be in illustrious company. Only two other directors – John Ford and Joseph L Mankiewicz – have won the trophy twice on the trot.
Best Actor Leonardo Di Caprio, The Revenant. It would be a major upset if he didn’t win and, to be honest, it’s one upset that’s not going to happen.
Best Actress Brie Larson, Room. Oh, for Charlotte Rampling to give BAFTA a poke in the eye by winning! But she won’t.
Best Supporting Actor Sylvester Stallone for Creed. Make way for the sentimental Oscar. The American Academy loves giving them out and this is a dead cert. Stallone didn’t get a BAFTA nod, but as good as secured his Oscar when he bagged the Golden Globe earlier in the year. Even the two Brits in this category – BAFTA winner Mark Rylance and The Revenant’s Tom Hardy – won’t get a look-in.
Best Supporting Actress Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs. It isn’t just the British Academy that loves her, the American one does as well. The excellent Alicia Vikander in The Danish Girl might just ruin her night, but our Kate should win out.
So, if that all seems too predictable for words, blame the American Academy and the legions of publicists banging the drum for their clients.
The full list of nominees is here. And I’ll be rounding up the winners and losers here on The Coops Review on Monday morning, after the ceremony.